Although I am not sure if I am eligible to join in on this electoral pool, I will throw in my ideas on who will be the nominees and winners:
Democrats:
Presidential Candidate: Hillary Clinton
Vice Presidential Candidate: Barrack Obama
Republicans:
Presidential Candidate: Rudy Giuliani
Vice Presidential Candidate: Fred Thompson
Independent:
Presidential Candidate: Michael Bloomberg
Vice Presidential Candidate: Ron Paul
Yes, I have picked an all New York ticket for the 2008 election.
Bloomberg would definitely complicate matters, and at this time I am unsure which party he would hurt the most. However, for the sake of the bet, I will say that the winning ticket will be the Democrats, much to the chagrin of my Goldwater persona.
skip to main |
skip to sidebar
A group dedicated to fiscal conservatism, limited government, free market capitalism, and a laissez-faire approach towards social issues.
Blog Archive
-
▼
2007
(40)
-
▼
June
(19)
- Recent Supreme Court Decisions
- Impeach Cheney
- Campaign 2008: Poll shows many Republicans favor ...
- Hippies and Jesus Freaks
- More Drivel from Rudy
- The Real Iraq Debate By E. J. Dionne
- Sicko
- Political Futures
- Apple
- Whom Does a Bloomberg '08 Run Help or Hurt?
- Pork Project
- Rudy
- My Two Cents
- 2008...time to bet
- The 2 Rons
- Scooter Libby
- Ron Paul as the Next Howard Dean?
- End Social Security
- It's Time To End Social Security
-
▼
June
(19)
4 comments:
I'll throw down this bold statement...I'll leave the country if Rudy's elected.
We need a tiebreaker...give us the spread in the electoral vote.
I don't think Rudy's that bad. Though I don't think he's the perfect candidate either. The whole Bloomberg candidacy could throw everything out of whack and upset the balance. I really don't know much about him, though. What do y'all think?
Check this out:
Think Mike's a total long shot? Think again
By JOHN ZOGBY
Posted Thursday, June 21st 2007, 4:00 AM
Be Our Guest
Now that Mayor Bloomberg has scuttled his membership in the GOP and an independent bid for the presidency looks more likely, the burning question on the minds of New Yorkers is: Can this guy really win? My polling shows his chances are promising.
It comes down to good timing, really. After more than a decade of harsh wrangling, likely voters tell me they are tired of the vicious partisanship. In a national telephone poll last month, 80% said it was "very important" that the next President be a person who can unite the country, and 82% said the same about the need for a competent manager. Bloomberg wins on both counts.
Another 58% said it was "very important" that the next President be able to cross party lines to work with political opponents, while just 42% said it was "very important" that he or she reflect the values of their own political party. As a Democrat-turned-Republican-turning-independent, Bloomberg fits the bill.
Put another way, the middle ground of the political electorate is expanding, the fringes are contracting, and Bloomberg could be sitting in the sweet spot.
Across the political spectrum, there is widespread discontent with where America is headed right now. Two out of every three likely voters say outright that the nation is in crisis. Yes, crisis. There are deep hunger pangs for a new direction.
Of course, how an independent candidate would perform depends on who the major party candidates are, but Bloomberg is buoyed by the fact that those raging nomination battles usually push the eventual winners to the political extremes.
Add this to the mix: In an exhaustingly drawn-out campaign, Bloomberg can essentially remain above the fray for many more months while the Democrats and Republicans slug it out for their respective nominations. If and when he finally steps in, he could be seen as a real breath of fresh air. In a society that increasingly puts value on what's new and exciting, we should not underestimate this factor.
Not that the challenge isn't daunting. As an independent, Bloomberg would have to qualify for the ballot in states across the country. But teams of petition-gatherers can be bought, and he's got what every pol wants - ready cash, and no begging.
On the electoral map, a Bloomberg candidacy puts almost every state into play. Suddenly, the required winning percentage in each is reduced from 50% plus one to just 34%.
An important side note: Contrary to conventional wisdom, my polling shows he would likely take more votes from the Democrat than the Republican. Those who consider themselves part of that growing "moderate" political class are 38% Democrats, 25% Republicans, and 38% independents.
But why should Mike settle for being a spoiler? Ross Perot in 1992 showed that a third party candidate can affect a presidential race - he won 19% of the national vote. Bloomberg's combination of a track record of political success, a political philosophy that matches what the electorate wants, and the cash to buy a campaign organization makes it possible he may do much more than just affect the race - he could win it.
Zogby is president and CEO of Zogby International, a global polling firm.
URL: http://www.nydailynews.com/opinions/2007/06/21/2007-06-21_think_mikes_a_total_long_shot_think_agai.html
Americans may be sick of partisanship...hell, heard that in '92 with Perot. But, when it comes down to it, most don't think an independent has a shot at anything. ultimately, they'll revert back to a partisan vote.
That's probably true, but Bloomberg probably has a better shot than Perot.
Post a Comment